Wednesday,  December 11 , 2024

Linkedin Pinterest
News / Business / Columnists

Berko: Pfizer looks like nothing could stop it

By Malcolm Berko
Published: December 19, 2015, 5:59am

Dear Mr. Berko: I own 200 shares of Pfizer, which I bought at $26 in late 2011. I have a nice profit in Pfizer, but I’m concerned that Hillary Clinton’s rightful criticism of high drug prices will hurt Pfizer’s profits. Is the outlook still bullish?

— S.K., Minneapolis

Dear S.K.: Pfizer is here to stay, and so are high drug prices. In the constant conflict between corporate America and the government, the government wins the battles, corporate America wins the wars and taxpayers foot the bill.

Pfizer (PFE-$32.50) started in 1849, when cousins Charlie Pfizer and Charlie Erhart combined their chemistry and confectionery expertise to produce santonin. A tasty almond-flavored remedy for intestinal worms, a common ailment of the times, it was an instant success. Pfizer’s office, warehouse, factory and laboratory occupied 2,800 square feet in Brooklyn.

During the Civil War, they manufactured and sold painkillers, preservatives, disinfectants, iodine, morphine, chloroform and other products, helping patients be more comfortable. By 1906, revenues exceeded $3 million, and the Two Charlies were on their way to making history. They found a Golconda in 1941. In response to Uncle Sam’s request to provide World War II service members with a new antibiotic, Pfizer mass-produced penicillin and cemented its place in medical history. Today Pfizer does business in 181 countries, has 110,000 employees and produces over 340 prescription drugs and vaccines, generating $49 billion in annual revenues this year. And 60 percent of those revenues derive from overseas.

Credit Suisse, Thomson Reuters, Argus Financial Services and Morningstar are bullish on PFE. And they’re impressed with its pipeline. According to Dr. Dover, Pfizer’s tofacitinib pill, for rheumatoid arthritis, was given a green light by the Food and Drug Administration. The brand name is Xeljanz, and it’s among PFE’s most important drugs because it’s more effective than AbbVie’s Humira without many of the side effects. It will carry a $25,000 annual price tag (on a par with the yearly cost of Humira), and annual revenues are expected to be $2.5 billion to $3 billion. Eliquis, a drug for atrial fibrillation, is also expected to be a $2 billion-plus blockbuster. But I’m not sure about Eliquis. One doc I talked to believes Eliquis is a godsend for A-fib, but two others told me they won’t prescribe it because the side effects are unacceptable. PFE has seen solid growth in its Lyrica (controls negative effects of fibromyalgia) and Prevnar (a pneumonia vaccine for seniors) franchises. PFE’s oncology business continues to impress Wall Street, particularly Ibrance, which costs $9,850 a month and treats metastatic breast cancer.

The recent $16 billion Hospira acquisition makes PFE the world’s leading provider of injectable drugs and infusion technologies. Hospira will add $4.8 billion to PFE’s revenues and will immediately add earnings of 12 cents a share during the first year. This amount is likely to grow in the coming years, allowing PFE to increase the number of high-quality generic injectables and biosimilars it can offer the public. This was a masterful stroke, as PFE’s vast financial resources will enable Hospira to develop a larger and extremely profitable product line. This will become increasingly evident as PFE’s sales force in emerging countries allows the company to benefit from dramatically increasing wealth in such nations as Russia, Brazil, India, China and Turkey.

PFE’s recent acquisition of Ireland’s Allergan, creating the world’s largest pharmaceutical company, is too recent to comment upon in detail. The inversion will hugely lower taxes, and PFE’s share price, earnings and dividends should post record results over the next few years. It will probably take 16 months to smoothly and effectively bring the companies together. With revenues of $90 billion and an attractive 3.5 percent dividend, PFE could become an unstoppable moneymaking behemoth. I believe it must be in every investor’s growth and income portfolio.


 

Malcolm Berko addresses questions about stocks. Reach him at P.O. Box 8303, Largo, FL 33775 or mjberko@yahoo.com.

Support local journalism

Your tax-deductible donation to The Columbian’s Community Funded Journalism program will contribute to better local reporting on key issues, including homelessness, housing, transportation and the environment. Reporters will focus on narrative, investigative and data-driven storytelling.

Local journalism needs your help. It’s an essential part of a healthy community and a healthy democracy.

Community Funded Journalism logo
Loading...