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The following is presented as part of The Columbian’s Opinion content, which offers a point of view in order to provoke thought and debate of civic issues. Opinions represent the viewpoint of the author. Unsigned editorials represent the consensus opinion of The Columbian’s editorial board, which operates independently of the news department.
News / Opinion / Columns

Wilkinson: Future demagogues have roadmap

By Francis Wilkinson
Published: September 23, 2024, 6:01am

A large national survey released last week by PRRI — a nonpartisan, nonprofit polling organization — applied some sharp detail to the rise of authoritarianism in the U.S. The overall trend, of course, is unmistakable. Donald Trump lavishes praise on international thugs and promises to unleash vengeance on any American who excites his insecurities or inhibits his criminality.

The Republican Supreme Court issued an ahistorical, counter-constitutional ruling earlier this year with an express goal to shield Trump from accountability for crimes committed in office, thus supplying tacit approval of new crimes should he return to the White House. Republican state officials increasingly employ anti-democratic means to rule their states. Meanwhile, the threat of another violent MAGA coup attempt looms over the election landscape.

The PRRI survey, conducted online in June with a sample of 5,352 adults, is partly about Trump’s supply-side authoritarianism. But it’s also about the demand side. The poll shows the crosscurrents of Trumpism, Christian nationalism and right-wing propaganda — Fox News and its ilk play a supporting role — that fuel authoritarian views. Republicans who don’t adhere to far-right Christian doctrine, don’t view Trump favorably or don’t rely on right-wing news are all far less likely to hold authoritarian views than those who do.

For example, 27 percent of Republicans say true American patriots may have to resort to violence to save the country, more than three times the percentage of Democrats who say the same. But Trump fans (32 percent) are three times as likely as Republicans who hold unfavorable views of Trump (11 percent) to support political violence.

Similarly, more than half of Republicans who view Trump favorably say we need a leader willing to break rules.

Twenty-nine percent of Republicans who view Trump favorably agree with the statement “If Donald Trump is not confirmed as the winner of the 2024 election, he should declare the results invalid and do whatever it takes to assume his rightful place as president.” It’s hard to imagine a more explicit endorsement of Trump’s lawless lust for power.

Asked whether society has become too “soft and feminine,” 68 percent of Republicans agree, compared with only 20 percent of Democrats. Among Republicans who favor Trump, agreement hits 73 percent.

Immigration has been a chief focus of Trump’s demagogy for nine years. Among Republicans, 60 percent agree with the “Great Replacement Theory,” a conspiracy theory that Brown and Black immigrants are being imported to displace whites in the U.S. (The 1965 Immigration Act, which altered immigration to the U.S., is apparently too mundane an explanation.)

The macabre dance between paranoia and propaganda is on display when media habits are added to the mix. Among those who most trust conservative news, 81 percent agree with the Great Replacement, about four times more than those who most trust mainstream news.

Christian supremacy, like white supremacy, is a factor, with 43 percent of Trump fans agreeing that “God wants Christians to take control” of the “7 mountains” of society, a reference to Christian supremacists dominating key sectors of American life, including education, business and government.

If Christian supremacy fails, there is always Armageddon. Two-thirds of Republicans agree that “the final battle between good and evil is upon us, and Christians should stand firm with the full armor of God.”

The poll portrays a conservative America saturated with extremism and dystopian fantasy. Trump supporters are akin to an audience at a horror film, cringing at ghastly scenes while begging for more “American carnage.” Trump’s demagogy feeds that appetite; it also provides a roadmap for unscrupulous politicians to travel in his wake.


Francis Wilkinson is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering U.S. politics and policy.

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