When Trump was elected in 2016, he won just 46.2 percent of the vote. When he ran again as an incumbent in 2020, he won 46.8 percent. Stare at those two numbers for a while. See how similar they are? That’s Trump’s ceiling right there, likely the most he’s ever going to get.
And those were Trump’s vote totals before he tried his bumbling coup.
No. 2
Election denialism is a proven loser.
Every time a candidate has come before mainstream voters preaching Trump’s dangerous nonsense that the 2020 election was stolen, they’ve lost. By mainstream, I mean in larger elections, not small districts. Election deniers just lose, lose, lose, from Arizona to Pennsylvania to Southwest Washington’s 3rd Congressional District.
Also, any time Trump’s fixers or sycophants in the Big Lie scam or the fake elector scheme have gone before a jury or a judge, they have lost. Every single time. That’s the quiet engines of democracy, pushing back. People should be reassured by this, not freaked out.
No. 3
Taking away civil rights is also a historic loser. The stripping of a constitutional right for the first time in our lifetimes, with the loss of abortion rights, has upended American politics. As it should. It’s toxic even in red states. This will be the first presidential election since that happened, and it makes for terrible political terrain for the right. Especially for Trump, as he’s the one who did it.