SEATTLE — Winter has barely begun and the dominant theme for snow lovers is anxiety.
Why the jitters? After a rare three-peat of La Niña winters that resulted in generous (if sometimes unevenly distributed) snowfall, the surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have shifted from cool to warm.
That means a strong El Niño winter is upon us — and those are typically warmer in the Northwest, which does not bode well for mountain snow.
“This could be one of the five strongest El Niños of the last 50 years,” Washington climatologist Nick Bond said.
A moderate El Niño developed during the 2014-2015 winter, the worst in modern memory, and its ghost looms large in the collective psyche of skiers and snowboarders. But the historical data is not all doom and gloom. Hyak, on the east side of Snoqualmie Pass at a modest 2,800 feet in elevation, posted over 300 inches of snow in each of the last three strong El Niño winters, dating back to the 1982-1983 season.