The following editorial was written by the Bloomberg Opinion editorial board:
Manufacturers of COVID-19 vaccines say they’re now producing 1.5 billion doses a month and will have made 12 billion doses by the end of the year. In theory, that would be enough to meet the World Health Organization’s goal of vaccinating 70 percent of the global population. The challenge is to ensure these vaccines go where they’re needed. Most of the doses coming off production lines appear headed for wealthy countries that will soon have more than enough.
By the end of the year, the U.S., U.K., European Union, Canada and Japan could find themselves with more than 600 million excess doses, beyond what they’ve already promised to donate, even after offering booster shots. At that point, 20 percent of them may be too old to be used elsewhere. The G-7 countries have so far delivered less than 15 percent of the nearly 1.7 billion doses they’ve promised to give to low- and middle-income countries.
Much of the developing world remains almost defenseless against COVID-19. Some 56 nations, mostly in Africa and the Middle East, have vaccinated less than 10 percent of their populations.
Three things need to happen without further delay.
First, rich-country governments should demand much more information about producers’ plans. They need to see where, when and how many shots are expected to be shipped. That will let them measure their own needs alongside planned supply and enable them to share excess doses more efficiently, instead of at short notice, often too late for the shots to be used. At his vaccine summit in September, President Joe Biden proposed a global dashboard to track vaccine production and delivery schedules. The U.S. and others should press hard for manufacturers to comply.