The physical walls that seal off national borders don’t just deter humans, they may also prevent hundreds of land-bound mammal species from migrating to escape the impacts of climate change.
New research published Monday in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences is the first to project how man-made barriers — such as fortified fences and walls at border crossing — could restrict animals from moving to find more hospitable territory as the world both warms and becomes far drier in some places.
The researchers from Durham University in the U.K. mapped the climatic niches — areas that have appropriate temperature and precipitation conditions — of roughly 80 percent of terrestrial mammals and birds, about 12,000 species in all. They then projected where similar habitats would be in 50 years. The findings show that if humans continue to pour greenhouse gases into the atmosphere unabated, those areas will shift dramatically.
“Under a high-emissions scenario, we find that 35 percent of mammals and 29 percent of birds are projected to have over half of their 2070 climatic niches in countries in which they are not currently found,” the researchers wrote. In other words, about a third of all terrestrial and airborne species could be forced to look for new homes.