BP’s chief economist Spencer Dale reported peak-oil demand is coming more quickly than BP predicted with renewables like solar surging faster than expected.
BP now believes that by 2040 roughly 30 percent of vehicle kilometers from passenger cars will be powered by electricity, even though electric vehicles would comprise only 15 percent of the global car fleet.
“The higher share reflects the importance of EVs in shared mobility, which would be closely-linked with the emergence of electrically-powered autonomous vehicles,” Dale said.
Then last month, the Australian Broadcasting Corp. (ABC) reported Shell purchased Sonnen, the German home battery company, as part of its strategy of investing in renewable technologies.
Sonnen is an emerging player in Australia’s energy market, establishing a base at the former Holden site in Adelaide to manufacture batteries for installation in homes. The purchase, subject to regulatory approval, is welcomed because it provides a much-needed injection of investment capital.
ABC reported renewables industry analyst Giles Parkinson, who runs renewable advocacy website Renew Economy, said the announcement was good news for consumers and would help make batteries more affordable with greater storage capacity.
“As you get more and more manufacturing, you’re going to start to see those costs coming down,” he told ABC. “Basically the prediction for batteries is that it’s going to follow the same cost curve as solar. Solar has come down 90 per cent in cost in the last 10 years.”
Sonnen officially opened its home battery assembly site at the Holden factory in November. The local workforce is expected to expand by 430 jobs by the end of the year, as the company embarks on a plan to build 50,000 battery systems over the next five years.
The company is one of the global leaders in distributed energy storage systems. Sonnen is taking the right step when it comes to moving into home batteries just as Tesla is doing in developing batteries for the power grid.
Does this mean, oil companies are abandoning motor fuels such as gasoline and diesel? No, but it represents an important shift.
Dale said BP still expects oil and gas to be central in the global energy system over the next 20 years. Shell sees lower carbon emission fuels as helping to reduce greenhouse gases by 2040.
Shell developed a comprehensive forward looking plan to reduce atmospheric carbon gases. For example, it believes that shifting to cleaner burning LNG in ocean-going ships, ferries and tugs will lower carbon emissions. Roughly two percent of CO2 emissions are attributed to maritime.
The bottom line is encouraging large investors, including oil companies, to finance noncarbon energy sources to market is vital. The private sector, which thrives on bringing new products to market, focuses on consumer demands and needs–a strategy which has served America well.
It beats adopting the sweeping $92 trillion New Green Deal that would cripple our economy.
