Weather Eye: Enjoy summerlike weather, because it will be over soon
By Patrick Timm
Published: September 29, 2016, 6:03am
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Wednesday was what I would call a perfect autumn day, weather-wise. Hazy, sunny skies and temperatures just about seasonal. Highs in the 70s and lows in the 40s. The average high and low were 71 and 49.
Enjoy today, as it will be the last summerlike day for awhile. I’m sure we will have a few pleasant days in October, but our dry days are running out. The fall rains will be underway, usually after the midpoint of October.
I went through the La Conner area and the potato harvest was in full swing. Farmers were busy trying to beat the cool and wet period that rolls in Friday.
Speaking with several folks in northern Washington this week, they told me there are expecting a cold and snowy winter. The wood piles are stacked high, I can tell you that.
But who knows, between the almanacs, nature’s critters and meteorologists making their winter predictions, it seems to become an annual ritual this time of the year.
Many professionals utilize a series of analog years that have been similar to this year to perhaps draw a conclusion. I always say that you look back to the past to predict the future.
Regardless, the weather will do whatever it will do. Forecasting, no matter how far advanced it has become, still isn’t an exact science.
The woolly bear caterpillars I’ve observed in the northern part of the state this week had mostly wide orange bands. This would indicate a mild winter. We have discussed this numerous times but scientists tell us the little critters are actually telling us what the last winter was like. It was a fairly mild winter last year, hence the majority have wide bands. These caterpillars live for two winters before transforming into the Isabella moth.
Unless we get a third of an inch of rain before midnight Friday in Vancouver, we will end up below average in the rainfall department. September’s total was just 1.15 inches as of 5 p.m. Wednesday. The average mean temperature was 62 degrees Wednesday, 2 degrees below normal.
So do we call this month cooler and drier than average? I always say averages are just a collection of extremes. And so it goes.
Have a great weekend and enjoy the first taste of autumn weather.
Patrick Timm is a local weather specialist. His column appears Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays. Reach him at http://patricktimm.com.
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