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News / Clark County News

Weather Eye: Extended warm-dry period might not be so extended after all

By Patrick Timm
Published: September 15, 2016, 6:00am

So whatever happened to our promise of an extended period of warm and dry weather? I’m thinking it all went south — literally. Instead of weather systems remaining to our north for the extended period, it now appears we will have a wet weekend and possibly unsettled weather next week as the jet stream sags southward toward us.

Computer models are definitely not in total agreement and show much disparity. So we get the broad brush out once again and include everything in the forecast. Showers, sun, wind, clouds. Snow? I don’t think so; I was just adding that in for good measure.

So why not go with my gut feeling? Well, lately my stomach has been as upset as the forecast models. I hate to put in the chance of showers wording but alas, no choice. I do think if the next system rolls in over the weekend we could get a good soaking. I suppose you just watered everything?

For the first two weeks of the month in Vancouver, we are still running cooler than normal with an average mean temperature of 62.6 degrees, 3.6 degrees below average. Our rainfall has slipped below average, as well.

Looking back in 2012 on this date one reader wrote, “What fun! We just had a rather hefty cloudburst for about 10 minutes. The raindrops were big and everything got wet.” In 2014 it went like this, “I read your column this morning. I guess the drop in temperatures explains why I woke up 10 times cold. About time for an extra blanket.”

So it goes in the month of September, a high expectation for surprises.

Patrick Timm is a local weather specialist. His column appears Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays. Reach him at http://patricktimm.com.

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