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News / Clark County News

Weather Eye: Winter has a ways to go, no matter what groundhog predicts

By Patrick Timm
Published: February 2, 2016, 6:07am

Happy Groundhog Day! As I wrote my column late Monday afternoon, I had no idea of course just what would be the official prediction by Punxsutawney Phil. But regardless of that outcome, we still have about seven more weeks of winter, according to the calendar.

So whether he predicts six more weeks of winter weather or, if there’s no shadow, the country can look forward to an early spring, it will still be winter. The latest forecast I looked at indicated it may be overcast this morning, so no shadow. My gut feeling is that we will have an early spring-like weather pattern setting up, with warmer than average temperatures. Time will tell. Go Phil!

Interesting enough, Groundhog Day ties in with the European celebration of Candlemas, which is the halfway point between the winter solstice and the spring equinox. As far as Phil’s accuracy, it may match up with my ability in forecasting by throwing darts and hitting the bull’s-eye. Fifty-fifty. Okay, maybe I need some practice. It’s one of those things that is all for fun, along with the woolly bears and a myriad of other folklore.

I can tell you with 100 percent accuracy that January was a wet month with 7.10 inches in the Vancouver rain bucket, 1.60 inches above average. The average mean temperature was just about normal at 41.4 degrees, only .2 degrees below average. Temperatures ranged from a low of 26 degrees on Jan. 3 to a high of 58 degrees on the 28th.

Thanks to recent snows, we inched back up to 104 percent of average for snowpack in terms of water content for the southern Washington Cascades. Last year on February 1, we only had 22 percent of average. You can remember what that did to our reservoirs as the long, hot summer settled in. 

Not too bad of a day today, a good soaking Wednesday and drying out by the weekend with warming temperatures and I think the beginning of a dry spell starting on Sunday that will last for several days and bring spring-like highs. We’ll see.


Patrick Timm is a local weather specialist. His column appears Tuesdays, Thursdays and Sundays. http://patricktimm.com.

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