While the needs of younger Washingtonians will be the Legislature’s primary focus next year in the form of school funding, lawmakers also will have to attend to the state’s older residents.
The population is aging, fueled by the baby boomer generation and by extended life spans, and that fact promises to place a heavy burden upon the health care system. Of course, it is no surprise that populations throughout the United States are growing older, but two statistics in particular drive the point home — today, 11 percent of Washington residents are 65 years or older; by 2030, an estimated 20 percent will be 65-plus.
With that in mind, it is incumbent upon next year’s Legislature to begin some long-range planning for how the state will deal with the attendant health concerns and costs. While the changing demographics long have been anticipated, little has been done to quantify what impact that will have upon state services. Gov. Jay Inslee’s last budget request included $500,000 for a study that might have answered those questions, but the earmark was scratched from the final budget. Whether the information comes from a state-financed study or from reliable estimates by private organizations, it would seem prudent for lawmakers to lend their attention to the issue during the 2015 session. The stakes are simply too high to ignore. The current budget, for the 2013-15 biennium, includes $1.8 billion for the state Medicaid program’s long-term services and support. That represents about 6 percent of the budget, a number that is likely to grow over the next 15 years.
Undoubtedly, this can be a difficult conversation, on both the private and the public policy levels. Individuals, succumbing to human nature, typically are reluctant to envision a future that includes a loss of independence, one that requires assistance for such daily activities as preparing meals and getting dressed. Relatively few of us are financially prepared for a stage of life that is inevitable for many, and long-range planning is necessary at both the individual and the state levels.